Stats Picks - including scoring streaks at 3/1...
Friday 13th December 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Preston strong at home…
- Scoring streaks…
Stats Picks…
The stats are proving a good guide so far this month, with 9 of our first 12 picks paying off.
With a good couple-of-hundred+ games still to come throughout the rest of December and the busy Christmas & New Year period, we’ll be looking to latch onto as many top trends and highly-rated match-ups as we can.
Here are this weekend’s Stats Picks…
CORNERS
Sheff Utd v Aston Villa – Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap
Premier League
Saturday 3pm
Echoes of Tuesday’s Chelsea v Lille match-up here, where the home team have dominant corner-winning stats – and both teams have a record for high totals…
Sheff Utd have won the Most Corners in 7 out of 8 home games (88%), covering a -3 Corner Handicap in 3 of them.
Villa have been out-cornered in 100% of away trips, with opponents overcoming -3 Corner Handicap on 6 out of 8 occasions.
On the Total Corners front, Premier League games at Bramall Lane are averaging 12.7 corners, and Villa away games are averaging a high 14.9.
Villa are ranked in 1st place on our Premier League tables for both Over 10.5 Corners and Over 11.5 Corners, with matching 88% strike-rates for both. The Blades are 75% at home for Over 10.5, and 50% for Over 11.5.
Last season – in the Championship – this fixture saw Sheff Utd boss the corners at home, 9-1.
Price comes into the thinking for our Stats Pick here. The standard Over 10.5 Corners line is short odds-on in general, with 4/7 (1.57) at BetVictor the best going. For one corner kick more, the Over 11.5 option is 8/11 (1.73) at best.
With the numbers strongly weighted in the home team’s favour in terms of corner-winning, the Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap gets the nod at Evens+ (2.00+).
- Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap @ 5/4 (2.25) with William Hill, BetVictor, 6/5 (2.20) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 11/10 (2.10) Skybet, 21/20 (2.05) Betway, Evens (2.00) Bet365
MATCH RESULTS
Swindon v Oldham – Swindon to win
League Two
Saturday 3pm
There are seven teams on our Top 10 Table all boasting a full house of 5 wins from their last 5 games:
All of those seven sides are odds-on favourites to win this weekend. And of the five teams that are playing at home (Celtic, Leeds, Leicester, Liverpool, Swindon), it’s League Two leaders Swindon that standout at the best price…
The Robins have won 6 in a row. They take on 21st place Oldham who have just 2 wins from their last 9.
- Swindon to win @ 4/6 (1.67) with Bet365, Skybet, 8/13 (1.62) in general
Preston v Luton – Preston to win
Championship
Saturday 3pm
Focusing on the specific match head-to-heads and home v away form, Preston’s home form stands out a mile…
North End have won 8 home games this season – more than any other side in the division. Luton have lost 9 on the road, which is also a division-high.
On Tuesday night Preston beat promotion favourites Fulham 2-1 at Deepdale…
Their only ‘blips’ at home have come against the other current Top 4 teams in the Championship – drawing 1-1 with Leeds, 3-3 with Bristol City and losing 0-1 v West Brom by a controversial injury-time penalty.
Against teams outside that top bracket, Preston have won 8 out of 8 at home.
- Preston to win @ 7/10 (1.70) with William Hill, Betfred, Marathonbet, 4/6 (1.67) in general
SCORERS
Last but not least this week, we’re following three men who are all on impressive scoring streaks…
Leicester v Norwich – Anytime Scorer: Jamie Vardy (@ 4/9)
Premier League, Saturday 3pm
- Vardy is top scorer in the Premier League and has found the net in 8 consecutive games for Leicester
Swindon v Oldham – Anytime Scorer: Eoin Doyle (@ 17/20)
League Two, Saturday 3pm
- Doyle is top scorer in League Two (and the country) with 18 goals this season. He’s scored in 8 games in a row for Swindon
Fortuna Dusseldorf v RB Leipzig – Anytime Scorer: Timo Werner (@ 3/5)
Germany – Bundesliga, Saturday 5.30pm – BT Sport
- Werner has 15 goals from 14 Bundesliga games this season. He’s landed Anytime Scorer bets in 5 league games in a row for Leipzig
Our Stats Pick is the Treble on the three scorers.
- ACCA – Treble: Anytime Scorers – Vardy, Doyle & Werner @ 3/1+ (4.00+) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betfred, Skybet, Betway
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. This weekend’s Stats Picks are:
- Sheff Utd v Aston Villa – Sheff Utd -3 Corner Handicap @ 5/4
- Swindon to beat Oldham @ 4/6
- Preston to beat Luton @ 7/10
- ACCA – Treble: Anytime Scorers – Jamie Vardy, Eoin Doyle & Timo Werner @ 3/1
I’ll be back next week with a round-up of the latest Top Trends, and plenty more Stats Picks as we head into the festive fixture list…
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
