3/1 and 6/1 picks in Spain this evening...
Monday 15th June 2020
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- La Liga tonight…
- Stats Picks & Analysis…
- Daily fixtures, all covered…
3/1 and 6/1 picks in Spain this evening…
Our weekend picks broke even, with a 2/1 Anytime Scorer payout coming from Bayern Munich midfielder Leon Goretzka.
With goal machine Robert Lewandowski suspended for the German champions, we used the recent form to identify Goretzka as one to watch for a goal at a decent price.
In Spain, Gerard Moreno drew a blank in Villarreal’s first game back. While Lucas Perez was absent for Alaves (bet void).
Who needs summer holidays, anyway?
With La Liga continuing tonight (see below), and throughout the week… midweek German Bundesliga games kicking off tomorrow… the return of the Premier League on Wednesday evening… and at the weekend, the Championship and Italy’s Serie A back in action, too.
You & I are going to have stacks of football to look at – and that’s just the way we like it…
There are daily fixtures from now on, taking us throughout June and into July. It’s not the summer of football we expected, but with Euro 2020 postponed, we have a huge domestic fixture list to keep us more than occupied in the days and weeks ahead.
Your members-only Across the Leagues website will be up-to-date with the latest form, our unique betting stats & tables, and Head-2-Head comparisons for every game.
And in our Picks & Analysis emails throughout the week, we’ll be using the stats & formbook as a starting point, as we look to stay on the right side of the odds and scout out some attractive betting opportunities…
We’re straight on the case in that respect with two players standing out in the numbers today. The first game kicks off at 6.30pm.
STATS PICKS & ANALYSIS
Levante v Sevilla
Spain – La Liga
6.30pm, La Liga TV/ Premier Sports
There’s only one player to concern ourselves with here and that’s last Thursday’s man of the match for Sevilla, Lucas Ocampos.
Only Lionel Messi and Karim Benzema have scored more La Liga goals than Ocampos this season, and he’s up there with those two big names too for Anytime Scorer (11) and First Goalscorer payouts (6).
Ocampos has scored in 5 league games in a row going back to before the break, and got the opener from the penalty spot in Sevilla’s 2-0 win over Real Betis last week.
The Head-2-Head, Player Stats comparison on our site today shows that Ocampos has landed First Goalscorer bets in 4 of his 12 starts on the road this season. That strike-rate marks him out as the man to follow here, especially with Bet365 sticking their neck out with an industry-best price of 6/1.
Add into the mix, the fact that Sevilla have scored first in 12 of their 14 away games in La Liga in 2019/20, the best record for that stat in the division. And the only two games where the home team struck first were in trips to the Top 2, Barcelona and Real Madrid.
- First Goalscorer – Lucas Ocampos @ 6/1 (7.00) with Bet365, 5/1 (6.00) 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/1 (5.00) Betfred
Real Betis v Granada
Spain – La Liga
9pm, La Liga TV/ Premier Sports
Another player market where should go after nice prices on a regular basis is in the To get a Card betting…
The Head-2-Head on our site identifies a few contenders here, with Yangel Herrera a prolific offender for the visitors – so much so, that he is fact suspended for tonight’s game, after picking up his latest booking last Friday night.
The away team are the one to look at for this market though, and elsewhere in the Granada squad, Domingos Duarte stands out at the prices today…
Duarte has got 7 Yellow Cards in all competitions this season, 6 of them in league games – and all 7 have come on the road. That away-day stat make him a player to follow for this evening’s trip to Betis, with odds of around 3/1 and 5/2 available.
- To Get a Card – Domingos Duarte @ 3/1 (4.00) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 11/4 (3.75) Bet365, 5/2 (3.50) Betfair Sportsbook, 12/5 (3.40) Skybet, William Hill
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s picks are:
Levante v Sevilla
- First Goalscorer – Lucas Ocampos @ 6/1 (7.00) with Bet365, 5/1 (6.00) 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/1 (5.00) Betfred
Real Betis v Granada
- To Get a Card – Domingos Duarte @ 3/1 (4.00) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 11/4 (3.75) Bet365, 5/2 (3.50) Betfair Sportsbook, 12/5 (3.40) Skybet, William Hill
We’ll be back at the stats and markets tomorrow, with more Spanish & German matches on the schedule. And of course, the Premier League coming up from Wednesday.
P.S
Go Against the Crowd at Ascot this week…
Royal Ascot starts on Tuesday. Our racing analyst Nick Pullen is all set for the first festival since the restart, with daily coverage in his Against the Crowd service.
In Nick’s own words:
“I’ll be betting in the Buckingham Palace Handicap and the Ascot Stakes – on Tuesday afternoon – the races that open and close the card....
And I’ll be betting on plenty more handicap races throughout the rest of the week – there’s 13 to choose from this year....
As always, I’ll oppose the favs, the fancied and the general market consensus with ‘live’ alternatives up at wrong prices....
It’s a strictly contrarian approach. I make no promises. I make no guarantees. I expect to get more wrong than I get right....
But I always seek out big ones. I have a proper go at it. And you can expect winners too…”
Get onboard here…
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
