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Stats Picks - Bundesliga action tonight...

Tuesday 17th December 2019

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Stats Picks…
  • Bundesliga tonight...
  • Goals stats lead the way...

Stats Picks…

There’s a full midweek programme in the Bundesliga this week – and once again the German goals stats lead the way...

  • So far this season, 70% of all Bundesliga games have gone Over 2.5 Goals (94 out of 135)

Wednesday’s game between Freiburg and Bayern Munich has been given some very short prices by the bookies...

Bayern are on an 11-game streak for Over 2.5 Goals and that option is 2/7 (1.29). Bayern striker Robert Lewandowski is the top scorer in Germany with 18 goals in 15 games. He’s also short odds-on for tomorrow’s game, priced at 1/4 (1.25) in the Anytime Scorer market.

Tonight’s games offer up some better odds for ‘Over’ bets. You can follow all the action live on the BT Sport channels...

GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA

As the current League Stats table on our website confirms, Over 2.5 Goals is a very strong trend in the German top-flight:

Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Stats

With those high numbers to guide us – and using our League, Team and Head-2-Head stats to look at this week’s Bundesliga match-ups – these fixtures standout in particular:

Werder Bremen v Mainz – Over 2.5 Goals (@ 4/9)

5.30pm – BT Sport

  • Home v Away stats match-up for Over 2.5 Goals = 71% home v 88% away records

Bets on Over 2.5 Goals have paid out in 7 of Bremen’s last 8 league games – and in each of Mainz’s last 7.

Augsburg v Dusseldorf – Over 2.5 Goals (@ 4/6)

7.30pm – BT Sport

  • Home v Away match-up = 86% v 75%

Augsburg’s last 6 home games have paid out on Over 2.5 Goals. Dusseldorf have conceded 16 goals in their last 5 games.

Borussia Dortmund v RB Leipzig – Over 2.5 Goals (@ 4/9)

7.30pm – BT Sport

  • Home v Away match-up = 86% v 88%

Dortmund’s last 10 games in all competitions have gone Over 2.5 Goals. Jadon Sancho has scored in 6 games in a row. Leipzig are on a 7-game run in the league for this bet. Timo Werner has found the net in each of the last 6.

Our Stats Pick is an acca on those three games:

  • ACCA – Treble: Over 2.5 Goals @ 12/5 (3.40) with William Hill, Boylesports, Marathonbet, 9/4 (3.25) Bet365, Betway

Stats Picks Summary

See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:

  • ACCA – Treble: Over 2.5 Goals in the three Bundesliga games listed above @ 12/5

I’ll be back on Friday with Stats Picks for the weekend before Christmas...

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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