Stats Picks - including Atletico v Liverpool tonight...
Tuesday 18th February 2020
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Midweek Stats Picks…
- Champions League tonight…
- Bookings & Scorer stats...
Stats Picks…
This weekend stats almost gave us another Over 2.5 Goals payout in the German Bundesliga.
Borussia Dortmund won 4-0 and RB Leipzig won 3-0, but Augsburg v Freiburg ended 1-1 to leave us one goal short of the treble.
The Champions League returns this week with the first wave of Last 16, 1st Leg ties. This is always a big round of fixtures, with quarter final places up for grabs...
Tuesday:
Atletico Madrid v Liverpool
Borussia Dortmund v PSG
Wednesday:
Atalanta v Valencia
Tottenham v RB Leipzig
All kick offs 8pm, live on BT Sport
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
We’ll start our coverage this week with a look at the standout stats for this evening’s games…
Here are our Stats Picks:
Atletico Madrid v Liverpool
TONIGHT 8pm
Most Booking Points: Liverpool
Diego Simeone has been in charge at Atletico since 2011, making him one of the longest serving managers around. Over the years, Simeone’s Atletico sides have tended to be characterised by hard work, organisation, clean sheets - and a feisty level of combativeness that has often ridden right on the edge of ‘firm but fair.’
The stats don’t lie though, and for this evening’s game against Liverpool, the home team may well turn out to be the best-behaved in terms of Cards & Booking Points…
On the League Stats page on our website for the Spanish La Liga, Atletico are ranked bottom of the table for Most Bookings bets.
Simeone’s side have received the Most Cards or Booking Points in just 4 of 24 league games all season. And at home, that record is 0%, with none out of 12.
In comparison, our Premier League pages show that Liverpool have landed Most Bookings payouts in 54% of their away league games. Only four teams in the Premier League have a higher away strike-rate than that.
In the Champions League this season, Atletico received the Most Bookings in just one of their 6 Group games - and in none of their 3 home fixtures.
Liverpool landed this bet in half of their Group games, including in 2 out of 3 away trips.
The bookmakers have Atletico as the slight favourite in the Most Bookings markets for this game, but the numbers point to the away team.
- Most Booking Points: Liverpool @ 8/5 (2.60) with William Hill, 6/4 (2.50) Skybet, 13/10 (2.30) Boylesports
Or:
- Most Cards: Liverpool @ 8/5 (2.60) with Betway, 29/20 (2.45) 888 Sport, Unibet. Liverpool 0 Card Handicap @ 7/5 (2.40) Bet365
Borussia Dortmund v PSG
TONIGHT 8pm
Anytime Scorer: Erling Braut Haaland
There’s a plethora of scoring talent in both squads here…
PSG have Neymar coming back from injury, as well as French World Cup winner Kylian Mbappe, to name just two. Other star names include Edinson Cavani and Angel Di Maria.
Dortmund’s two dangermen in front of goal of late have been a pair of 19-year-olds, Jadon Sancho and Erling Braut Haaland.
Sancho has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 4 of his last 6 games.
But it’s Haaland’s Champions League record that puts him top of the pickings here…
The Norwegian signed from Salzburg in January. So far, Haaland has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 5 out of 6 games for Dortmund. Scoring a total of 9 goals in that 6-game period.
In the Champions League Group stage for Salzburg, Haaland set records for a debutant in this competition by finding the net in each of his first 5 appearances - registering 8 goals in that spell.
All the signs are that this young striker is one to follow in big games…
- Anytime Scorer: Erling Braut Haaland @ 6/5 (2.20) with Betfred, 27/25 (2.08) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 10/11 (1.91) Ladbrokes, Coral, Skybet, BetVictor
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:
- Atletico Madrid v Liverpool - Most Booking Points: Liverpool @ 8/5
- Borussia Dortmund v PSG - Anytime Scorer: Erling Braut Haaland @ 6/5
I’ll be back tomorrow with your Stats Picks for Wednesday’s Champions League games.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
