Stats Picks - including Crystal Palace v Man City...
Friday 18th October 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Top-rated match-ups…
- Goals Acca @ 9/2…
Stats Picks…
With the International break over, we have a full set of fixtures to enjoy across the UK & Europe this weekend…
I’ve done the hard work for you and gone through the stats. Here’s the pick of the top trends and match-ups...
- See below for full details of this weekend’s Stats Picks. Including our new Goals Acca feature – aiming to capitalise on the Total Goals and Both Teams to Score trends
PREMIER LEAGUE
Two of the live TV games standout for stats bets…
Crystal Palace v Man City is the Saturday evening kick-off (5.30pm, Sky Sports). It’s not often you get a 100% v 100% match-up, but this is one of them…
Palace are 8 out of 8 for Over 3.5 Cards payouts (or 40+ Booking Points), and so are Man City. Both sides are averaging 2+ cards per game. Some bookies are betting a card higher than 3.5 here, but the lower line is available in places – see Stats Picks below.
Sheffield Utd v Arsenal is the Monday Night Football on Sky Sports. There’s a clear match-up on the home v away Head-2-Head on our site for Most Corners. The Blades have won the Most Corners in all 4 games at Bramall Lane, averaging 8.3 For per game. That includes a corners victory over league leaders Liverpool last time out.
Arsenal in comparison have been out-cornered in 100% of away games so far – at Man Utd, Watford, Liverpool and Newcastle (and also at Frankfurt in the Europa League). The Gunners are averaging just 3.8 Corners For on the road. Last season Arsenal won the Most Corners in just 6 of 19 away league games (32%).
CHAMPIONSHIP
Brentford v Millwall is 1st v joint-2nd on our Championship League Stats table for Under 2.5 Goals. That bet has paid out in 4 out of 5 Brentford home games, and 5 out of 6 Millwall away games. These two London clubs have met 4 times in the last two seasons and all 4 encounters have ended with 2 or less Total Goals.
LEAGUE TWO
Newport County v Scunthorpe and Forest Green v Mansfield are two strong Under 2.5 Goals selections here. The two respective home teams have eye-catching records…
Newport are 92% for Under 2.5 Goals, giving 11 payouts out of 12 so far. Three of Scunthorpe’s last 4 on the road have gone Under, too.
Forest Green are ranked 2nd in the division for Under 2.5 Goals, including 7 of their last 9 games overall and 5 out of 6 at home. Four of Mansfield’s last 5 away have had 2 or less Total Goals.
SPAIN – LA LIGA
Espanyol v Villarreal points to the home side on the recent discipline form. Espanyol have got the Most Cards and Booking Points in each of their last 5 games. Villarreal have been the worst-behaved side in just one of their last 6 outings. Last season in this fixture Espanyol did the league double for the Most Cards.
GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA
Over 2.5 Goals is a recurring trend in Germany. So far this season, 78% of all Bundesliga fixtures have seen 3+ Total Goals (49 out of 63 games). Three teams have 100% records for this bet and they all match-up well this weekend…
Borussia Dortmund v Borussia Monchengladbach is 100% (7 out of 7) v 71% (5 out of 7) on the Over 2.5 Goals stats.
Werder Bremen v Hertha Berlin is a 100% match-up.
Stats Picks
This weekend’s Stats Picks are:
Crystal Palace v Man City
- 40+ Booking Points @ 4/5 (1.80) Skybet, Over 3.5 Cards @ 7/10 (1.70) Betway, 8/13 (1.62) Bet365
Cards & Booking Points options also available with William Hill, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, NetBet, 10Bet. Cards & Booking Points bets explained here.
Sheffield Utd v Arsenal
- Most Corners – Sheffield Utd @ 11/10 (2.10) Skybet, 19/20 (1.95) 888 Sport, Unibet, 10/11 (1.91) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 17/20 (1.85) William Hill
Some bookies call this market the Corners Match Bet.
Espanyol v Villarreal
- Most Cards – Espanyol @ 13/8 (2.63) Betway, 11/8 (2.38) 888 Sport, Unibet, 0 Card Handicap – Espanyol @ 5/4 (2.25) Bet365
Goals Accas:
Brentford v Millwall – UNDER 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 (1.80)
Newport County v Scunthorpe – UNDER 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 (1.80)
Forest Green v Mansfield – UNDER 2.5 Goals @ 8/11 (1.73)
- ACCA – Treble @ 9/2+ (5.50+) Bet365, BetVictor, Boylesports, Marathonbet, Sportingbet, Betfred
Borussia Dortmund v Borussia Monchengladbach – OVER 2.5 Goals @ 4/11 (1.36)
Werder Bremen v Hertha Berlin – OVER 2.5 Goals @ 1/2 (1.50)
- ACCA – Double @ Evens+ (2.00+) with Bet365 and in general
I’ll be back on Tuesday and Wednesday with your Stats Picks emails for the Champions League and all the midweek football.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
