Stats Picks - including a 10/1 Goals combo...
Friday 25th October 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Website update – European leagues now live…
- Two 10/1 accas…
Stats Picks…
I’m delighted to announce that our three new European leagues have now been fully activated on your Across the Leagues website.
That means we’re now providing you with unique football betting stats and advice for La Liga in Spain, the Bundesliga in Germany and Serie A in Italy.
On top of our existing coverage of the Premier League, English Football League, Scottish Premiership and the Champions League.
Making Across the Leagues 2019/20 our most powerful and comprehensive stats service yet.
Standout stats for the weekend…
There are 80-odd games taking places across our featured leagues this weekend. Using the League Stats, Team Stats, Totals, Top 10 Tables and Head-2-Head tools on our website, I’ve gone through the stats and betting markets to highlight our Stats Picks for you…
As well as standard match singles, we’ll also be looking to turn the stats into winners by combining Form (Match Results) and Goals (Over/ Under, Both Teams to Score) in doubles, trebles and accumulators. These accas won’t win every week. But with some big rolled-over odds up for grabs, the occasional full house will serve us well over the course of the season…
MATCH RESULTS
These four teams all standout on the recent form in their respective divisions:
Premier League
Burnley v Chelsea – Chelsea to win @ 8/11 (1.73)
Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 in the league, and 3 out of 4 away
League One
Fleetwood v MK Dons – Fleetwood to win @ 8/13 (1.62)
Fleetwood have won 5 out of 7 at home. MK Dons have lost 6 of their last 7 games
League Two
Grimsby v Cheltenham – Cheltenham to win @ 2/1 (3.00)
Cheltenham are 2nd and have won 6 of their last 8. Grimsby are 16th and have lost 3 of their last 4
Italy – Serie
Lecce v Juventus – Juventus to win @ 1/3 (1.33)
League leaders & champions Juventus have won 5 in a row and 7 out of 8 overall. Lecce are played 3 lost 3 at home
All four teams to win pays 10/1:
- ACCA – 4-fold @ 10/1 (11.00) Bet365, BetVictor, Sportingbet, 888 Sport, Unibet, Marathonbet
GOALS
We have six highly-rated match-ups in the Goals categories:
Premier League
Man City v Aston Villa – Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/5 (1.20)
City home games are averaging 4.5 Total Goals, Villa away games are averaging 4.0
Premier League
Liverpool v Tottenham – Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15 (1.53)
Liverpool and Spurs are joint-top of our Premier League standings for Over 2.5 Goals, with a 100% home record v 100% away record
Championship
West Brom v Charlton – Both Teams to Score @ 4/5 (1.80)
West Brom are yet to keep a Clean Sheet in 6 home games, with a 100% record for Both Teams to Score. Charlton have given 4 out of 6 payouts on the road
League One
Oxford Utd v Rochdale – Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/7 (1.67)
This is an 83% home trend v an 86% away stat. Oxford’s last 5 games – and 11 out of 12 – have gone Over 2.5 Goals, as have 5 of Rochdale’s last 6
Spain – La Liga
Atletico Madrid v Atheltic Bilbao – Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/9 (1.44)
These are the top two on our La Liga table for Under 2.5 Goals, with 89% v 100% records
Germany – Bundesliga
Paderborn v Dusseldorf – Over 2.5 Goals @ 2/5 (1.40)
Big match-up here with a 100% home Over 2.5 Goals record v 100% away
The full house of Goals picks combines at 10/1:
- ACCA – 6-fold @ 10/1 (11.00) William Hill, Boylesports, Betway, Marathonbet, Sportingbet
CARDS & CORNERS
These two games match-up particularly well on the Cards/ Corners stats and Head-2-Head comparisons:
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock v St Mirren – Under 10 Corners
Kilmarnock and their plastic pitch were No.1 in the Scottish Premiership for Under 10.5 Corners results last season (79%). Killie have a new artificial surface this season – and so far they’re 100% at home for ‘low corners’ payouts, with all 5 going Under 10. Overall, Kilmarnock’s last 7 games have had 9 or less corners. St Mirren away games are averaging 8.1 Total Corners.
- Under 10 Corners (or Under 9.5 Corners) @ Evens (2.00) Skybet, 4/5 (1.80) William Hill, 4/6 (1.67) Bet365, 13/20 (1.65) 888 Sport, Unibet, 4/7 (1.57) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, NetBet, 10Bet
Premier League
Norwich v Man Utd – Over 3.5 Cards
Man Utd have a 100% away record for Over 3.5 Cards, and that bet has paid out in 7 of their 9 Premier League games overall. Norwich are 75% at home with 3 out of 4 going Over 3.5 Cards, and 4 of their last 5 overall. The referee for this one is Stuart Atwell – he’s produced 4+ cards in 3 of his 4 Premier League appointments, and in 7 out of 8 games in all competitions this season.
- Over 3.5 Cards @ 22/25 (1.88) 888 Sport, Unibet, 5/6 (1.83) Bet365, 4/5 (1.80) Betway, NetBet, 10Bet
Also available: Over 35.5 Booking Points @ 20/23 (1.87) Boylesports, 40+ Booking Points @ 4/5 (1.80) Skybet. Cards & Booking Points bets explained here.
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. This weekend’s Stats Picks are:
- Match Win ACCA – 4-fold @ 10/1
- Goals ACCA – 6-fold @ 10/1
- Kilmarnock v St Mirren – Under 10 Corners @ Evens
- Norwich v Man Utd – Over 3.5 Cards @ 22/25
I’ll be back on Wednesday with a Top Trends update, rounding up the very latest stats and winning streaks from our website.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
