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Stats Picks - including Real Madrid v Man City tonight...

Wednesday 26th February 2020

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Midweek Stats Picks…
  • Champions League & Championship tonight…
  • Match Result, Scorers & Cards stats…

Stats Picks…

We have two more Champions League Last 16, 1st Legs to look at tonight:

Lyon v Juventus

Real Madrid v Man City

All kick offs 8pm, live on BT Sport

  • There are also seven Football League games taking place in the Championship this evening. You can view Head-2-Head stats for those Championship games on our website: www.acrosstheleagues.co.uk

Here are our Stats Picks…

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

Lyon v Juventus

TONIGHT 8pm

Match Result: Juventus to win

Lyon are 7th in French Ligue 1. Juventus are top of the league in Italy and have won each of their last 5 Champions League games.

The French club are without one of their star players and strikers. Memphis Depay scored in 5 out of 5 Champions League games before Christmas, but is out injured and is yet to play in 2020.

Juve have got past this Last 16 round in each of the previous five seasons, winning 3 of their last 5 away games at this stage of the competition.

Juventus are 1/6 (1.17) To Qualify over the two legs. They’ll be odds-on to win the home game. Tonight’s match represents an opportunity to back the Italian champions at Even Money (2.00).

  • Juventus to win @ 21/20 (2.05) with Betway, Betfred, BetVictor, Evens (2.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, NetBet, 10Bet

Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo

Last night we went one from two with our ‘big boys’ Scorer picks – Lionel Messi drew a blank, but Robert Lewandowski found the net to move back to the top of the 2019/20 Champions League Top Goalscorer chart.

At similar prices this evening, we need to follow Cristiano Ronaldo’s scoring streak…

As the all-time UEFA Champions League top scorer, Ronaldo is on the radar for pretty much every game he plays in. Right now, the Portuguese superstar is in hot form, even by his own high standards.

In Italy, Ronaldo has scored in a record-equalling 11 Serie A games in a row. So far this calendar year, the Juventus striker has scored in 9 out of 9 appearances in all competitions.

Following the stats back to before New Year, Ronaldo has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 16 of his last 18 games for club & country.

That seriously impressive strike-rate outstrips the odds available for him today…

  • Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 6/5 (2.20) with SpreadEx, Evens (2.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 888 Sport, Unibet, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral

Real Madrid v Man City

TONIGHT 8pm

This is a big European match-up, and given extra spice with the recent news of Man City’s upcoming Champions League ban.

Real Madrid are unbeaten at home in 16 games in all comps this season.

City are priced up as the slight match favourites, but it’s close. Madrid are 8/5 (2.80), City are 6/4 (2.50), and the draw is 13/5 (3.60).

Player to be Carded: Casemiro

The Cards & Bookings stats highlight an opportunity for us here.

Real Madrid’s defensive midfielder Casemiro is one of the most-booked players in the Spanish La Liga this season, with 9 Yellow Cards from 23 appearances (the most-booked player is on 11 Yellows).

Casemiro is Madrid’s most-carded player in the league, ahead of the ‘usual suspect,’ long-serving defender & club captain, Sergio Ramos (7 Yellows).

Ramos knows how to play these big European cup games, and has only been booked in 2 of his last 12 Champions League appearances.

Casemiro has been booked in 6 of his last 12 games for Madrid, a 50% strike-rate for Player to be Carded bets going back to the last Champions League match-day in November.

The Brazilian stands out as a Stats Pick here, at odds of around 2/1 (3.00) – and with Man City boasting tricky attacking threats with the likes of Kevin de Bruyne and the returning-from-injury Raheem Sterling.

  • Player to be Carded: Casemiro @ 2/1 (3.00) with SpreadEx, 15/8 (2.88) Skybet, 7/4 (2.75) Betfred, 17/10 (2.70) Betway, 888 Sport, Unibet

Player Cards markets also available with Bet365, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, BetVictor, Boylesports.

Stats Picks Summary

See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:

  • Lyon v Juventus – Match Result: Juventus to win @ 21/20
  • Lyon v Juventus – Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 6/5
  • Real Madrid v Man City – Player to be Carded: Casemiro @ 2/1

I’ll be back on Friday with your Stats Picks for the weekend…

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

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