Stats Picks - including Man City tonight...
Tuesday 26th November 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Picks…
- Champions League – Match-day Five…
- Strong stats for Man City v Shakhtar Donetsk…
Stats Picks…
We have an exciting week to look forward to with loads of football on the schedule…
The main event midweek is Champions League Match-day Five, with 8 games this evening and 8 more tomorrow.
There’s also action in the Football League, with a full round of Championship fixtures as well as a handful of League One and League Two games.
Here are our Stats Picks for this evening…
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Man City v Shakhtar Donetsk – Over 3.5 Goals
8pm – BT Sport
Back on Match-day Two we noted Shakhtar’s Champions League ‘high goals’ trends...
After 5 out of 6 Group games going Over 2.5 Goals last season (and 7 out of 8 CL games seeing 3+ goals the season before).
The Ukrainians’ results so far in the 2019/20 campaign have been: 0-3 v Man City, 1-2 at Atalanta, 2-2 v Dinamo Zagreb and then 3-3 in Zagreb.
Man City have scored 2+ Goals For in 9 of their 10 home games in all competitions this season. And overall, half of their 20 games have seen 4+ Total Goals, paying out on Over 3.5 Goals.
Over 2.5 Goals is short odds-on at 1/3 (1.33). The stats for both sides say the higher 3.5 line is very achievable here.
- Over 3.5 Goals @ 17/20 (1.85) William Hill, Marathonbet, 5/6 (1.83) and 4/5 (1.80) in general
Man City v Shakhtar Donetsk – Man City -4 Corner Handicap
Sticking with this game, the home side have strong stats when it comes to corner-winning, too…
Man City have won the Most Corners in 10 out of 10 games in all comps at the Etihad this season, covering a -4 Corner Handicap in 7 of them.
That handicap requires City to win 5+ corners more than Shakhtar. In the reverse tie, City won the game 0-3 and bossed the corner count 0-6.
In their last 3 home games in the Premier League, City have beaten a -4 Corner Handicap, racking up some high tallies: 8-3 v Chelsea, 17-0 v Southampton and 13-7 v Aston Villa.
Shakhtar have only won the Most Corners in one of their 4 Group games so far, and that was against Atalanta who have been out-cornered in every game.
- Man City -4 Corner Handicap @ 6/5 (2.20) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 23/20 (2.15) William Hill, 11/10 (2.10) Skybet, Evens (2.00) Bet365
LEAGUE ONE
Sunderland v Burton Albion – Both Teams to Score
7.45pm
Sunderland finished in 1st place on our League One table for Both Teams to Score last season, with a 71% home record the standout stat.
2019/20 is going the same way, with the data on our website showing goals at both ends in 6 of the Black Cats’ 8 league games so far at the Stadium of Light (75%):
Burton match up well with 6 of their 9 away games paying out on Both Teams to Score in the league (67%). And goals at both ends in 5 of Albion’s last 6 games in all comps.
- Both Teams to Score @ 3/4 (1.75) Bet365, 8/11 (1.73) and 7/10 (1.70) general
Stats Picks Summary
See above for full details. Today’s Stats Picks are:
- Man City v Shakhtar Donetsk – Over 3.5 Goals @ 17/20
- Man City v Shakhtar Donetsk – Man City -4 Corner Handicap @ 6/5
- Sunderland v Burton Albion – Both Teams to Score @ 3/4
The games continue on Wednesday with more Champions League and Football League action.
I’ll be back tomorrow with your next Stats Picks email.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |
