Across the Leagues Logo

Monday 1st June 2020

In your Across the Leagues email today:

  • Monday Night Preview…
  • Koln v RB Leipzig, 7.30pm…
  • Stats Picks & Analysis…

Monday Night Preview – 3/1 and 5/1 picks…

Round 29 of the Bundesliga concludes this evening with Koln v RB Leipzig live on BT Sport.

Let’s take a look at the standout stats and most appealing prices in the markets for tonight’s game…

STATS PICKS & ANALYSIS

Koln v RB Leipzig

Germany – Bundesliga
7.30pm, BT Sport

Plenty of stats and trends for us to consider here, led by the latest form and the Head-2-head comparison, which is available by logging-in and going to the Bundesliga zone on our website.

Over 2.5 Goals:

Koln have had 11 games in a row go Over 2.5 Goals. RB Leipzig have seen 15 out of 15 league wins this season produce 3+ Total Goals. The Over 2.5 Goals option is just 4/11 (1.36) in general tonight.

Match Result:

Five of the 8 weekend games saw Away Wins, with the ‘loss of home advantage’ trend again on show in the empty stadiums of the Bundesliga…

Since the restart, 8 out of 35 games have seen a Home Win (22.9%). The pre-lockdown season-to-date Home Win average in the Bundesliga was 43.3%

Leipzig are priced at just 4/9 (1.44) for the Away Win tonight though, with 1/2 (1.50) the best you can get, available with a couple of firms. Since the return to action, Leipzig have been the odds-on favourite in all 3 of their matches, but only delivered once on the win. Going back to March before play was halted, the Red Bull club have drawn 4 out of 5, a frustrating run that has seen their title hopes fade away while Bayern Munich have accelerated away at the top.

Leipzig are 5th going into tonight’s game. Koln are 11th, and have drawn their last couple at home, both by the 2-2 score. Another draw is 4/1 (4.00). The Home Win upset is 5/1 (6.00).

Scorers:

Leipzig’s top scorer Timo Werner is around 4/6 (1.67) to score Anytime. Werner has scored in 8 of 13 away appearances this season. Taking odds of 4/6 to level stakes in every game though, you’d only be at break-even overall for Timo on the road in 2019/20.

Koln’s main man up front is Jhon Cordoba. He can be backed at 23/10 (3.30) in the Anytime Scorer market. Cordoba has landed that bet in one out of 3 games since the restart. It’s worth noting, though, that Leipzig have managed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 4 away games.

Up front for Leipzig, Werner’s strike partner Yussef Poulsen has been ruled out for the rest of the season. That injury news means Patrik Schick could line up as the front-man in attack this evening, with the speedy Werner running from behind him…

Schick has a notable record when in the starting XI this season. The Czech player has landed Anytime Scorer bets in 5 out of 10 league starts.

Away from home, Schick is 3 from 5 for Anytime payouts, and 2 from 5 for First Goalscorer returns. That’s the same number of away first-goal payouts as star man Werner, who has lined up in a higher amount of away games (13).

At 5/1, Schick catches the eye as a First Goalscorer contender here.

Player Cards:

In terms of a streak worth following, RB Leipzig defender Dayot Upamecano is one to look out for this evening…

The centre back has been booked in each of his last 4 away games. For the season overall, the Frenchman has picked up 9 Yellow Cards in all competitions, and 7 of them have come on the road.

What’s more, the referees certainly weren’t shy of getting their cards out over the weekend, with 6 of the 8 Bundesliga matches seeing 5+ Total Yellows.

At odd of 2/1+ (3.00+) To get a Card, with 3/1 (4.00) a standout, Upamecano is a player pick for us in the discipline markets. He’s landed that bet in 5 of his last 8 games.

Stats Picks Summary

See above for full details. Today’s picks are:

Kolv v RB Leipzig

  • First Goalscorer – Patrik Schick @ 11/2 (6.50) with Boylesports, 5/1 (6.00) in general

  • To get a Card – Dayot Upamecano @ 3/1 (4.00) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 5/2 (3.50) BetVictor, 12/5 (3.40) Bet365, 11/5 (3.20) William Hill, Skybet

I’ll be back on Wednesday with a midweek stats update, and a look at the big match at the bottom of table with Werder Bremen & Eintracht Frankfurt playing out their game in hand…

Best wishes,

Shaun Humphris

Shaun Humphris

Across the Leagues

We research our recommendations and articles thoroughly, but disclaim all liability for any inaccuracies or omissions found in this email. All prices correct at time of sending to subscribers.

Gambling is high risk and Oxfordshire Press Ltd and its writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred.

Never bet with money you cannot afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly, for more information and advice visit the gambleaware website at: www.begambleaware.org.

Copyright © Oxfordshire Press Ltd, 2019.