Picks & Analysis - Everton v Watford tonight...
Monday 10th December 2018
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Stats Review – Hamilton 100% record continues…
- Picks & Analysis – Everton v Watford tonight…
- Coming up – Champions League tomorrow…
Stats Review…
It was a good weekend to be following the stats. All four of our weekend picks came in. Accrington Stanley v Sunderland even went our way, despite being abandoned due to heavy rain in the second half…
With the score at 1-1 before the Referee brought a premature end to proceedings, the bookies’ rules dictate that Both Teams to Score is settled as a winner as the outcome of that bet had been decided before play was stopped.
In the Premier League, West Ham made it 5 straight Home payouts for the -1 Corner Handicap, edging that one 5-3 in a 3-2 win over Crystal Palace. And Bournemouth 0 Liverpool 4 went Over 2.5 Goals. Over 2.5 has now paid out in 13 of Bournemouth’s last 14 games in all comps (11 out of 12 in the league).
In Scotland, Hamilton continue to be one of the very best stats bets of the season. They lost 0-1 v Hibernian, with Under 10.5 Corners (7) paying out for the 14th consecutive game. Under 10.5 has now paid out in 100% of Hamilton Home games, and 16 out of 17 overall (94%).
- In Friday’s ATL Extra email, all 4 of our highlighted ‘stats for the weekend’ also went to form. With the top 4 ranked Championship sides for Most Corners bets all delivering once again – Sheff Utd, Brentford, Leeds & Norwich
Elsewhere in the stats – all up-to-date on your members-only Across the Leagues website right now – other noteworthy performers include:
- Premier League – Man Utd 4 Fulham 1 – Man Utd’s biggest winning score-line of the season to date, keeping them joint-top of the Premier League Over 2.5 Goals chart, level with Bournemouth on 81%
- Premier League – Leicester 0 Tottenham 2 (Total Cards = 4) – Leicester got 3 Yellow Cards to Tottenham’s one here, and the Foxes are the No.1 team in the division for Over 3.5 Cards bets, including a 75% Home record
- Scottish Premiership – Livingston 3 St Mirren 1 (Total Corners = 6) – Livingston continue to give Hamilton a run for their money for Under 10.5 Corners. That bet has now paid out in 8 out of 9 Livingston Home games (89%)
Those are just three markets and examples. Every week we keep track of the top performing teams across a range of stats – then look to cash-in when the next appropriate round of games comes along…
Picks & Analysis…
We have another nice busy week to look forward to with the Champions League midweek, league fixtures at the weekend – and live Monday Night Football this evening…
Everton v Watford
Premier League
8pm – Sky Sports
Match odds: Everton 8/11 (1.73), Draw 29/10 (3.90), Watford 4/1 (5.00)
Everton are odds-on to make it 4 defeats in a row for Watford. The stats point us to the Home team on the Corners…
We had a -2 Corner Handicap winner on Everton last week, and they look well-priced for the same again today. The Toffees drew 1-1 v Newcastle last Wednesday, with a thumping 14-2 corners score landing the -2 Corner Handicap for the 4th time in 5 games at Goodison Park.
Everton have won the Most Corners in 7 Home games in a row; only Man City can match their Home corner-winning record.
Watford are struggling near the bottom of our Premier League Most Corners chart, with just 5 payouts for the season (33%) and just 2 from 7 on the road (29%).
- Everton -2 Corner Handicap @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365, 888 Sport, Unibet, 20/21 (1.95) NetBet, 10Bet, 10/11 (1.91) Skybet, BetVictor, 17/20 (1.85) William Hill, 5/6 (1.83) Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power
Also available: Everton -2.5 Corner Handicap @ 26/25 (2.04) Marathonbet.
Today’s pick…
In summary, here is today’s pick at the best price:
Everton v Watford:
- Everton -2 Corner Handicap @ 21/20 (2.05) with Bet365
I’ll be back tomorrow with Picks & Analysis for Tuesday’s Champions League games.
Enjoy the football…
Best wishes,
Oliver Upstone
Across the Leagues |
