Summer Stats Pick - England v Argentina tonight...
Friday 14th June 2019
In your Across the Leagues email today:
- Summer Stats...
- Women’s World Cup...
- England v Argentina - pick for tonight...
Summer Stats Picks...
The off-season features a trio of International competitions to keep us occupied. We’ll be on the lookout for stats trends & opportunities in the Women’s World Cup, the Copa America and the African Cup of Nations.
We’re kicking off our ‘Summer Stats Picks’ with the England Women tonight...
England v Argentina
Women’s World Cup
Group D
8pm – BBC One
Match odds: England 1/12 (1.08), Draw 9/1 (10.00), Argentina 40/1 (41.00)
Argentina pulled off a shock 0-0 draw with 2015 runners-up Japan in their opening game on Monday – in doing so earning their first ever point at a World Cup.
That match was very much a one-sided affair though. The match stats show Argentina didn’t record a touch in Japan’s penalty box until the 65th minute, and took until the 73rd minute to register their first (and only) shot on target.
Japan won the corner count, 5-0...
England started their campaign with a 2-1 win over Scotland. That included a comprehensive 9-2 score-line on the corners.
The Lionesses are huge favourites to win the game tonight, very short odds-on at just 1/12 (1.08). England are a similar price or shorter to win the Most Corners. But the Corner Handicap market has plenty of options and can get us a more appealing double-your-money return...
In the Match Result markets, England are 4/9 (1.44) To Win To Nil and 5/6 (1.83) to win by more than 2 goals (-2 Match Handicap). The tournament trend so far says the Corner Handicap market is the best option for backing a match favourite...
In Tuesday’s email we looked at the first round of Group games and the pattern of match favourites dominating the corners...
That continued in Tuesday’s games with corner tallies of 8-1 to Netherlands in their 1-0 win over New Zealand, 11-0 to Sweden in a 2-0 win against Chile and 10-0 to USA in their 13-0 hammering of Thailand. Then on Wednesday, France beat Norway 2-1 and won the corners, 9-5.
As those results show – the USA-Thailand mismatch aside – the stronger nations aren’t winning games by many goals, but are bossing the corners by some substantial margins. England’s first game fitted their trend with a 2-1 win and 7-corner margin (9-2).
The point being – backing England on the Corner Handicap today may well serve you better for your money than backing a big margin of victory or a high score-line...
England -6 Corner Handicap pays out if they win 7+ corners more than Argentina.
Summer Stats Pick:
Women’s World Cup
England v Argentina today:
- England -6 Corner Handicap @ 13/10 (2.30) Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, 5/4 (2.25) Bet365, Skybet
Corner Handicap options also available with William Hill, NetBet & 10Bet.
Coming up...
The Women’s World Cup continues next week. And the Copa America starts over the weekend. I’ll keep you updated with any standout stats trends and bet opportunities.
Best wishes,
Shaun Humphris
Across the Leagues |