Tuesday 3rd November 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
Jamie Vardy is ticking over nicely in the Premier League Top Goalscorer market. Our 18/1 Each Way pick from the start of the season, the Leicester striker was on target for the third straight away game last night.
The Foxes won 4-1 at Leeds and move 2nd in the table. Vardy is now on seven league goals, just one off the top spot.
Champions League match-day three kicks off this evening, and we’ve got three men in the book for the Top Goalscorer market in European club football’s top competition, all at attractive Each Way prices:
Those are exciting prices, with the potential to keep us entertained and in with chances, well into the Knockout rounds after Christmas.
And today, the big-odds approach is the way I’m going in the match markets, too…
Atalanta v Liverpool is a fixture that I’ve had earmarked for goals ever since the Champions League draw was made, with these two sides coming out the hat for Group D.
The bookmakers are taking no chances in that department this evening. Over 2.5 Goals is just 4/11 (1.36), and Over 3.5 is also odds-on, at 10/11 (1.91) at best.
Both Teams to Score is also no better than 4/11. And Boylesports are an industry ‘top price’ for the Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score in the game combo, at just 1/2 (1.5).
If you’ve been following my write-ups since the summer then you’ll know Atalanta are a team to keep on the radar for Half Time/ Full Time (HT/ FT) turnarounds…
This is one of the most speculative football markets, but we were rewarded for this tactic in the Champions League quarter finals in August (PSG coming from 0-1 down at half time to beat Atalanta, 2-1).
It hasn’t happened again for Atalanta so far this season, but their eight games since that joyous 25/1 night for us have hinted that another HT/ FT flip-flop could be on the cards sooner or later…
Score-lines such as 2-4, 1-4, 5-2, 2-2 (I could go on) show the kind of matches that this free-scoring Italian team tend to get involved in. Last week in the Champions League, Atalanta came from 0-2 down to draw 2-2 with Ajax.
For their part, Liverpool are in the ballpark for topsy-turvy outcomes right now, too...
With world class centre back Virgil Van Dijk missing in defence, the Reds have come from a goal down to win in two of their last three outings, eventually winning 2-1 v Sheffield United (1-1 at half time), and then 2-1 again v West Ham last Saturday (also 1-1 at half time).
The full-scale scoreboard reversal gives by far the biggest odds in this Half Time/ Full Time market…
The Atalanta/ Liverpool option can be backed at 20/1 and 22/1, with Liverpool/ Atalanta a standout 25/1.
A speculative tactic, for sure. But the rewards are substantial, and these two attack-minded sides certainly fit the bill for a scenario like this. We could also have a second go at this in the upcoming reverse fixture at Anfield, too.
There are a couple of top v bottom match-ups in the Championship stats this evening…
The numbers cancel themselves out on paper for this evening’s game at the new Brentford Community Stadium, too:
There’s a full midweek programme in the English Football League (EFL) across today and tomorrow. You can view all the latest League, Team, and Head-2-Head stats by logging-in to your members-only Across the Leagues website.
Three games catch the eye for a potential blockbuster result this evening…
Win & Both Teams to Score is a market we’ve had success with before. When the situation suits, this bet is a great way to snag some chunky prices on teams with high goals stats & winning form.
From the Tuesday fixture list in the EFL, this trio all have credentials to land the odds:
Each of those selections are available at around 3/1+ each.
And for genuinely massive odds for a Tuesday night multiple, the Win & Both Teams to Score treble pays 94/1 and 80/1.
Take your pick and place these as you feel best. As with Atalanta v Liverpool, the stats & form suggest enough possibilities to make it well worth getting involved…
Here’s a summary of the standout bets highlighted in today’s analysis…
Atalanta v Liverpool
8pm, BT Sport
Norwich v Millwall
Bristol Rovers v Peterborough
Carlisle v Newport County
I’ll be back tomorrow with analysis & advice for Wednesday’s games, including the Champions League.
Enjoy the football…