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Three men to follow in League One tonight…

Tuesday 27th October 2020

In Across the Leagues today:

  • Zlatan scores again…
  • Champions League tonight – including Bayern Munich…
  • League One scorer selections…

Three men to follow in League One tonight…

The Scorer markets are a key area for us. They provide some of our most profitable picks. Be it in the match-day First & Anytime Scorer options. Or in the season-long, Top Goalscorer lists.

I’ve spent some time this morning totting up our settled scorer bets from so far this season. The figure comes out at a very healthy 45% ROI to level stakes. With a couple of 5/1 and 8/1 payouts in there.

In the Champions League, our two ante-post, Each Way selections are in action this evening…

  • Our 33/1 pick Romelu Lukaku scored twice on match-day one for Inter Milan last week. Today he’s odds-on at 5/6 (1.83) to score Anytime at Shakhtar Donetsk in the early kick-off (5.55pm). When those sides met in the Europa League semi final this summer, Lukaku got a brace
  • Raheem Sterling – in the book for us at 20/1 – will be looking to get off the mark in Europe in 2020/21 for Man City. With Sergio Aguero out injured, Sterling is around Evens (2.0) to find the net in Marseille

Zlatan AGAIN…

Last night’s Serie A game continued this season’s high-scoring theme in Italy. AC Milan v Roma ended 3-3.

And both the veteran strikers that we discussed in yesterday’s email popped up with goals once again:

Zlatan Ibrahimovic got two, including the opener at 3/1. Edin Dzeko got Roma’s first goal of the game.

  • The 39-year-old Ibrahimovic is top scorer in Serie A this season. Going back to 2019/20, he’s landed First Goalscorer bets in a remarkable 7 of his last 9 starts for Milan in all competitions

Were you on either of those guys? Drop me a line at:

Champions League shorties…

The shortest scorer price of the day tag goes to Robert Lewandowski. Last season’s Champions League & German Bundesliga top scorer is as short as 2/11 (1.18) to score Anytime for Bayern Munich at Lokomotiv Moscow this evening (5.55pm kick off).

Lewandowski got a hat-trick in a 5-0 league win for Bayern at the weekend. The Polish striker didn’t find the net on match-day one in the Champions League last week – but his Munich side still won 4-0. I wouldn’t be surprised to see another big score-line from the holders today…

Bayern are just 1/8 (1.13) to win the game. Those two Correct Scores are cautiously priced by the bookmakers – with a 4-0 win at 8/1, and 5-0 at 12/1. Clearly, the layers are wary of a big score-line from the German champs.

It’s a similar case with Liverpool today in terms of the Match Result and Anytime Scorer prices. The 2018/19 Champions League winners are at home against Danish newcomers Midtjylland, and just 1/6 (1.17) for the win.

And in the Anytime Scorer betting, Reds forwards Mo Salah and Sadio Mane are as short as 1/3 (1.33) and 2/5 (1.4) with Bet365, respectively.

  • We can set our sights on bigger Anytime Scorer odds than that – see below

Corner kings in the early kick off…

One area where I do like the Bayern Munich market tonight is for the -4 Corner Handicap.

We mentioned Bayern’s 1st place ranking for Most Corners in our Champions League Historical Stats last week.

Munich have covered a -4 and -4.5 Corner Handicap in 4 of their last 5 games. Lokomotiv Moscow were out-cornered 8-3 at RB Salzburg on match-day one. A similar 5-corner margin would pay out on the -4 and -4.5 options today, available at around Evens (2.0).

League One scorer selections…

As well as the Champions League & Europa League fixtures this week, there’s also a chunky midweek programme in the English Football League.

In League One tonight, three men stand out on the current form & prices…

  • Mallik Wilks – Bristol Rovers v Hull. Wilks made his loan move from Barnsley to Hull permanent this summer, and looks set for a good season, having put some off-field issues behind him. The 21-year-old attacker has scored 4 goals in 6 League One appearances this term, landing Anytime Scorer odds in 2 of his last 3 games. Odds touching 2/1 (3.0) appeal this evening
  • Paddy Madden – Fleetwood v Shrewsbury. Madden also catches the eye at around 2/1 today. He’s got 15 goals in each of the last two seasons for Fleetwood Town, enough to put him joint-2nd in the League One scorer charts when play was halted last season. Paddy tends to be a streaky goal-scorer… since the start of 2019/20, he’s found the net in back-to-back games on 9 occasions. That could be a good sign then, as Madden was on target for Fleetwood in their 2-0 win at Gillingham on Saturday
  • John Marquis – Portsmouth v Northampton. Marquis could haunt his old club Northampton this evening. The newly-promoted Cobblers have lost 5 of their last 6. Portsmouth are heavy favourites for the Home Win at 2/5 (1.4). Marquis is the man to follow at a top price 7/5 (2.4) to score Anytime. The 28-year-old has scored 3 times in his last 2 games for Pompey, and is always a strong candidate for penalty-taking duties, too, scoring 2 pens so far this season

Today’s picks

Champions League

Lokomotiv Moscow v Bayern Munich
5.55pm – BT Sport

  • Bayern Munich -4 Corner Handicap @ 21/20 (2.05) with William Hill, Evens (2.0) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 888 Sport, Unibet, -4.5 (Asian Handicap) Corners @ Evens (2.0) with Bet365, Marathonbet

League One

Bristol Rovers v Hull

  • Anytime Scorer: Mallik Wilks @ 2/1 (3.0) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 15/8 (2.88) Skybet, BetVictor, Betfred, Ladbrokes, Coral

Fleetwood v Shrewsbury

  • Anytime Scorer: Paddy Madden @ 11/5 (3.2) with Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 2/1 (3.0) Skybet, BetVictor, Betway, Ladbrokes, Coral

Portsmouth v Northampton

  • Anytime Scorer: John Marquis @ 7/5 (2.4) with BetVictor, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral, 13/10 (2.3) Betway, Betfred, 6/5 (2.2) Boylesports

I’ll be back with more analysis and advice tomorrow. Wednesday’s Champions League line-up includes Juventus v Barcelona and Man Utd v RB Leipzig.

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues