Friday 14th February 2025

In Across the Leagues today:

• Sunday fun-day at Spurs…
• EFL combo at 47/1…
• Bundesliga goals…

Weekend Preview: Tottenham v Man Utd – Bet Builder stats…

They made hard work of it, but Nottingham Forest made it past 10-man Exeter on Tuesday night. Via extra time and a penalty shootout…

Forest join our fellow 33/1+ Each Way picks Bournemouth in the FA Cup 5th Round. Both are drawn at home, with a good chance to reach the Quarter Finals. Forest v Ipswich, and Bournemouth v Wolves. Those ties will take place in early March.

Moving onto this weekend’s league action now…

Tottenham v Man Utd - Bet Builder stats…

Premier League - Sunday 4.30pm, Sky Sports

The Sky Sports advert for this match has a joke about even AI having no idea who’s going to win…

Recent history suggests we can expect plenty of goalmouth action…

• In 4 of the last 5, and 8 of last 10 meetings in all competitions: Over 2.5 Goals
• 5 of the last 6 meetings between Tottenham and Man Utd have gone Over 10.5 Corners

The stats say to expect cards, too…

• Man Utd have paid out as the team with the Most Cards & Booking Points in 9 of their last 10 encounters with Tottenham. In the Premier League this season, United have landed that bet in 4 of their last 5 away games (at Fulham, Liverpool, Wolves, and Arsenal). Tottenham have got the Most Cards/ Booking Pts in just 3 of 12 home league games in 2024/25

With that United cards record in mind, let’s follow a couple of Red Devils here…

• Man Utd captain Bruno Fernandes has been carded in 3 of his last 4 appearances against Spurs, including a red earlier this season - and a yellow on each of his last 2 visits to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Five of his 7 card payouts this season have come in away games
• Manuel Ugarte is Man Utd’s most-carded player in the Premier League this season. He’s been booked in each of his last 4 starts in all comps. The Uruguayan midfielder also got a yellow in the last league match v Spurs in September

And in the Scorer markets, let’s go with youth…

• Amad Diallo is Man Utd’s top scorer in this league campaign, but is currently on a run of 5 starts in all comps without a goal. The 22-year-old has a knack of being the man for United in big moments this season, and the drought can come to an end against this on-the-ropes Spurs side. He’s scored away at Liverpool, Man City - and at Tottenham in the EFL Cup

These five selections add up to a 54/1 Bet Builder for Sunday’s big match:

Over 2.5 Goals
Over 10.5 Corners
Anytime Scorer: Amad Diallo
Shown a Card: Manuel Ugarte
Shown a Card: Bruno Fernandes

Betfair Sportsbook:

EFL combo at 47/1…

Here are this weekend’s selections for a Win & Both Teams to Score Trixie in the English Football League…

• Crawley v Wycombe - League One, Sat 3pm: Wycombe to Win & Both Teams to Score
• Shrewsbury v Bolton - League One, Sat 3pm: Bolton to Win & Both Teams to Score
• Doncaster Rovers v Grimsby - League Two, Sat 12.30pm: Doncaster Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

In the standard Match Result market, those three teams to win pays 5/1 at best (Wycombe, Bolton, Doncaster Rovers). But the same three to win with goals at both ends delivers well over 40/1.

Bundesliga goals…

As I keep saying, the German Bundesliga is ripe for high-scoring games. I like these four match-ups for a 5/1 Both Teams to Score acca this weekend:

• Stuttgart v Wolfsburg - Sat 2.30pm: There have been goals at both ends in 5 of their last 6 meetings. With the last 3 ending: 2-2, 2-3, 3-1…
• Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich - Sat 5.30pm, Sky Sports: Reigning Bundesliga champions Leverkusen are joint-1st in the division for Both Teams to Score payouts this season. And it’s paid out in 4 of current league leaders Bayern’s last 5 games in all comps…
• Werder Bremen v Hoffenheim - Sun 2.30pm, Sky Sports: Last 5 score-lines between these clubs: 3-4, 2-1, 2-3, 1-2, 1-2…
• Eintracht Frankfurt v Holstein Kiel - Sun 4.30pm, Sky Sports: The reverse fixture produced 6 goals (2-4). Relegation-threatened Kiel are on an 8-game run for Both Teams to Score, with all 8 also going Over 3.5 Goals…

Log-in to view all our stats for 18 leagues, hundreds of teams & thousands of players at:

www.acrosstheleagues.co.uk

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TODAY’S PICKS & BEST ODDS

See above for full details

Tottenham v Man Utd:

• Bet Builder: 5 legs as listed above @ 54/1 Betfair Sportsbook, 50/1+ Bet365, Unibet (and BetUK, BetMGM & LiveScoreBet - same sportsbook as Unibet), 49/1 Paddy Power, 38/1 BetVictor, 33/1 Skybet

Three EFL games as listed above:

• Trixie (3 doubles and the treble): Win & Both Teams to Score - Wycombe, Bolton, Doncaster Rovers. Best odds Bet365 (47/1 the treble), William Hill (46/1), BetVictor, Betway, Boylesports (45/1), 40/1+ general

German Bundesliga games as listed above:

• Acca: Both Teams to Score in all 4 games @ 5/1 (6.0) Betway, Bet365, 9/2 (5.5) or 4/1+ (5.0+) in general

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Have a good weekend, and I’ll see you next week. The Champions League knockout playoffs continue on Tuesday night…

Enjoy the football…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Across the Leagues