Friday 11th September 2020
In Across the Leagues today:
After a short summer break, English football returns this weekend…
The new 2020/21 season kicks off in the Premier League & Football League. Watford v Middlesbrough gets things underway in the Championship this evening (7.45pm, Sky Sports).
Over the last few weeks, we’ve been putting together our book of early-bird, ante post picks for the upcoming campaign.
In 2019/20, targeting the attractive, Each Way prices produced 16/1 and 20/1 winners in the Top Goalscorer markets, as well as a 33/1 shot placed 2nd.
The names in our new 2020/21 portfolio so far are (click on the links for full details):
Premier League – Top Goalscorer:
Championship – Top Goalscorer:
League One – Outright Winner:
League One – Top Goalscorer:
Scottish Premiership – Top Goalscorer:
Familiarise yourself with our plan of attack for the season-long, outright markets, here.
And while we’re getting up to speed and making sure that we’re all on the same page, I’d urge you to have read of the Across the Leagues battle-cry that I issued yesterday. (Incidentally, PSG lost to Lens last night. Further franking the point that I made ahead of that game: betting without doing your research is betting stupid.)
Staggered start in Spain…
In Spain, La Liga also starts this weekend. Last season’s Top 4 teams don’t get underway until next weekend at the earliest, though…
Real Madrid, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Sevilla have all been granted extra time to prepare, having competed in the Champions League/ Europa League knockouts last month.
The big summer story in Spain has been Lionel Messi’s on-off situation at Barcelona. The latest seems to be, he’s staying, but he still wants to leave.
That unhappy situation has got to cast some doubt over Messi’s odds-on price in the La Liga 2020/21 Top Goalscorer market…
Messi is 4/6 (1.67) at best (Bet365). And the bookies, no doubt wary of being stung, are only betting Win Only. With no Each Way places available, hunting out an outsider to challenge for goals in La Liga looks a pretty unappealing task right now.
At best, some of the underdogs will have a game or two head-start on the 33-year-old Barca legend. Messi has been top scorer in Spain four seasons in a row.
Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema has finished 2nd or joint-2nd behind Leo Messi in each of the last two seasons. The 32-year-old is 11/2 (6.5) and 5/1 (6.0) to take top spot this time.
The Mansfield men…
Talking of strikers over 30, Mansfield Town’s Nicky Maynard was a 12/1 Each Way selection for us in League Two last season…
Maynard was 2nd in the top scorer chart with 14 goals when the season got curtailed due to lockdown.
At the end of June, Maynard’s contract ended at Field Mill. After flirting with a few other Football League clubs this summer, the 33-year-old has resigned on a one-year deal. Injuries and match fitness have been a bit of a concern in recent months.
In the 2020/21 betting, Maynard is 12/1 in general once again, and 14/1 and 16/1 at best.
I’m more interested in the younger men available at bigger prices…
Mansfield were also a 12/1 pick to win League Two last season. That certainly didn’t work out, with the club coming closer to going down, and finishing in 21st place.
The bookies are sweet on The Stags in this new campaign though. Graham Coughlan’s side are 11/1 at best for the 2020/21 title, and as short at 8/1.
I’m sticking with the Top Goalscorer approach…
Danny Rose at 33/1 & 25/1…
Despite finishing 21st of 24 teams last season, Mansfield still managed to produce two of the top-scoring players in the division. Maynard was 2nd, and Danny Rose was only three goals behind him.
The 26-year-old has scored 38 goals in 141 league appearances for Mansfield (101 starts). Prior to that, Rose posted 19 goals in 70 apps (26 starts) for Bury.
That experience at this level make Danny Rose stand out ahead of new teammate Jamie Reid, who is available at similar prices. Northern Ireland forward Reid arrives in League Two from a strong showing in the National League last season. The 26-year-old scored 18 goals for Torquay United, where he’d plied his trade since 2015, barring a loan spell at Truro City.
Available at a standout 33/1, and 25/1 in general, Rose is the pick of the Mansfield forwards for me. That price could prove to be a good one to have in our pocket this season. Especially if he makes a scoring start for Mansfield v Tranmere Rovers this weekend, and/ or in this month’s upcoming fixtures against Leyton Orient and Exeter.
League Two 2020/21
Each Way terms: 1/4 odds 1-4 places.
Last but not least today, here’s rundown of the start dates for all the leagues covered on our website this season.
The latest 2020/21 stats for each of these divisions will appear on the site after each round of games.
The site will be covering our full range of stats categories and betting markets for all 17 of those leagues. Including Match Results, Goals, Corners, Cards, Scorers, and Referees.
Lots to look forward to…
I’ll be back next week, when we’ll be looking in particular at the pre-season markets in Germany and Italy. As well as reporting on the daily match schedules, across the leagues.
Enjoy the football…